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Windtech International March April 2024 issue

 

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Uncertainty of Wind Power Production

Uncertainty of the annual energy production of wind parks is a key figure for the bankability of a wind energy project. Uncertainties are known as levels of exceedance or P-values. The estimation of uncertainties follows the rules of error propagation. Common assumptions considerably underestimate the level of exceedance and should be revised.

By Dr Johannes Sander, Sander + Partner, Switzerland

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